Our model gives Stord a 13% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 72% for Djerv.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 75% likelihood against 25% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stord have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Djerv have done so in 4 of their last 4.