Our model gives Österlen a 46% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Solvesborg.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Österlen have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Solvesborg have done so in 2 of their last 2.