Our model gives Star Starachowice a 40% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Czarni Połaniec.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Star Starachowice have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Czarni Połaniec have done so in 1 of their last 3.