Our model gives Stanmore Hawks a 7% chance to win this one, against 9% for a draw and 83% for Mounties Wanderers.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stanmore Hawks have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Mounties Wanderers have done so in 1 of their last 1.