Our model gives Stanmore Hawks a 29% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 50% for Dunbar Rovers.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stanmore Hawks have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Dunbar Rovers have done so in 0 of their last 1.