Our model gives Stamford a 12% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 72% for Real Bedford.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stamford have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Real Bedford have done so in 2 of their last 3.