Our model gives Stafford Rangers a 78% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 9% for Tividale.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Stafford Rangers have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Tividale have done so in 1 of their last 1.