Our model gives Staffanstorp United a 22% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 59% for Karlskrona.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Staffanstorp United have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Karlskrona have done so in 3 of their last 3.