Our model gives Springfield United a 49% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 35% for Univ. Queensland.

Both teams are projected to score in 79% of simulations, against 21% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 79% likelihood against 21% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Springfield United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Univ. Queensland have done so in 4 of their last 4.