Our model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 44% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Sportivo San Lorenzo.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportivo Trinidense have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Sportivo San Lorenzo have done so in 1 of their last 4.