Our model gives Sportivo Barracas a 37% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Deportivo Español.

Both teams are projected to score in 39% of simulations, against 61% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sportivo Barracas have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Deportivo Español have done so in 0 of their last 3.