Our model gives Sporting Hasselt a 51% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Dender.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sporting Hasselt have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Dender have done so in 0 of their last 1.