Our model gives Sporting Braga a 56% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Gil Vicente.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sporting Braga have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Gil Vicente have done so in 0 of their last 1.