Our model gives Sporting Braga a 49% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Austria Wien.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sporting Braga have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Austria Wien have done so in 5 of their last 6.