Our model gives Spokane Velocity a 36% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Athletic Club Boise.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Spokane Velocity have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Athletic Club Boise have done so in 3 of their last 4.