Our model gives Sparta Praha a 71% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Zlín.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sparta Praha have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Zlín have done so in 0 of their last 1.