Our model gives Sparta Praha a 70% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Teplice.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sparta Praha have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 6, and Teplice have done so in 3 of their last 4.