Our model gives Sol de Mayo a 52% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Germinal de Rawson.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sol de Mayo have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Germinal de Rawson have done so in 2 of their last 4.