Our model gives Sol de América a 49% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 23% for 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sol de América have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and 9 de Julio Rafaela have done so in 1 of their last 4.