Our model gives Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna a 47% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Star Starachowice.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Star Starachowice have done so in 2 of their last 3.