Our model gives Slutsk a 30% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 43% for Bumprom.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Slutsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Bumprom have done so in 2 of their last 4.