Our model gives Slonim a 26% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 52% for Minsk II.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Slonim have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Minsk II have done so in 3 of their last 4.