Our model gives SJK Akatemia a 28% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 47% for KäPa.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, SJK Akatemia have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and KäPa have done so in 3 of their last 4.