Our model gives Siwelele a 46% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Polokwane City.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 34% likelihood against 66% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Siwelele have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Polokwane City have done so in 2 of their last 3.