Our model gives Siwelele a 53% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Chippa United.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 35% likelihood against 65% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Siwelele have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Chippa United have done so in 0 of their last 2.