Our model gives Siroki Brijeg a 27% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 43% for Borac Banja Luka.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Siroki Brijeg have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Borac Banja Luka have done so in 3 of their last 4.