Our model gives Sion a 53% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Zürich.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sion have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 6, and Zürich have done so in 4 of their last 4.