Our model gives Sint-Truiden a 56% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 21% for La Louvière.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sint-Truiden have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and La Louvière have done so in 1 of their last 1.