Our model gives Sint-Lenaarts a 30% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 47% for Stade Bierbeek.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sint-Lenaarts have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Stade Bierbeek have done so in 1 of their last 1.