Our model gives Sileks a 67% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Skopje.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sileks have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Skopje have done so in 2 of their last 3.