Our model gives Sigma Olomouc a 43% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Sparta Praha.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sigma Olomouc have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Sparta Praha have done so in 5 of their last 6.