Our model gives Siarka Tarnobrzeg a 38% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Podlasie Biała Podlaska.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Podlasie Biała Podlaska have done so in 0 of their last 3.