Our model gives Sheffield Wednesday a 23% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 52% for Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sheffield Wednesday have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Wolverhampton Wanderers have done so in 2 of their last 2.