Our model gives Shanghai Segenda a 28% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 44% for Hubei Istar.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 41% likelihood against 59% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Shanghai Segenda have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Hubei Istar have done so in 1 of their last 4.