Our model gives Shanghai Segenda a 18% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 55% for Haimen Codion.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Shanghai Segenda have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Haimen Codion have done so in 2 of their last 4.