Our model gives Shanghai Port a 45% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Daejeon Citizen.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Shanghai Port have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Daejeon Citizen have done so in 3 of their last 4.