Our model gives Shakhtyor Soligorsk a 33% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 43% for Energetik-BGU.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Shakhtyor Soligorsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Energetik-BGU have done so in 3 of their last 4.