Our model gives Schalke 04 II a 40% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Sportfreunde Siegen.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Schalke 04 II have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Sportfreunde Siegen have done so in 1 of their last 3.