Our model gives Sarasota Paradise a 26% chance to win this one, against 42% for a draw and 32% for Tormenta.

Both teams are projected to score in 39% of simulations, against 61% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1.