Our model gives Sarıyer SK a 67% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Boluspor.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sarıyer SK have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Boluspor have done so in 1 of their last 1.