Our model gives Santiago Wanderers a 42% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Magallanes.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Santiago Wanderers have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Magallanes have done so in 3 of their last 4.