Our model gives Sandhausen a 34% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 41% for Ulm.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sandhausen have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Ulm have done so in 1 of their last 2.