Our model gives Sanat Naft a 37% chance to win this one, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Foolad.

Both teams are projected to score in 38% of simulations, against 62% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 28% likelihood against 72% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Foolad have done so in 0 of their last 1.