Our model gives San Pedro a 57% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Xelajú.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Pedro have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Xelajú have done so in 0 of their last 1.