Our model gives San Pedro a 70% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Aurora.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Pedro have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Aurora have done so in 2 of their last 3.