Our model gives San Miguel a 43% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 25% for All Boys.

Both teams are projected to score in 36% of simulations, against 64% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 28% likelihood against 72% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Miguel have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and All Boys have done so in 0 of their last 3.