Our model gives San Lorenzo a 38% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Talleres Córdoba.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Lorenzo have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Talleres Córdoba have done so in 3 of their last 4.