Our model gives San Benito a 58% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Mictlán.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Benito have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Mictlán have done so in 1 of their last 1.