Our model gives San Antonio a 55% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Indy Eleven.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Antonio have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Indy Eleven have done so in 0 of their last 1.