Our model gives San Antonio a 47% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 27% for El Paso Locomotive.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Antonio have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and El Paso Locomotive have done so in 0 of their last 4.